All customers
At-RiskSilver

Elena

A monthly regular who has gone quiet

A high-value customer who bought like clockwork every month, until she did not. She is well past her usual rhythm, so cadence-lapse fires. The model catches her as At-Risk before she drops out of the active base, and routes her to win-back rather than treating her as a healthy Champion.

What this journey moves
Active customers
RFM-BT signature
RFMBT
Classifies live as At-Risk · Silver
  • Re-engage before she lapses out of the active window
  • Rebuild her cadence, not just a one-off return
  • Protect a genuinely high-value relationship
  • Re-tier her accurately once she is back
01Detect

Cadence-lapse fires

Elena usually buys every month. She is now well beyond that, so lapse_risk flips to at-risk. Because her prior value was high, the tree routes her to At-Risk ahead of any value state.

Trigger: days_since_last_purchase > 3x personal median gap AND prior value high
Channels:
Model segment
Measure: Lapse detection lead time before active-window exit
KPI: Active customers
RFM-BT model → CDP

At-Risk · retention-first

median_gap = 30d
days_since_last_purchase = 96
lapse_risk = at_risk
-> win-back audience
Synced as custom attributes · targetable in the CDP
Model output, no customer message
02Re-engage

A gentle, timely nudge

No guilt, no hard sell, just a reason to come back, timed to something she would care about. Push first because it is the lowest-friction way back in.

Trigger: Entered win-back audience
Channels:
Push
Measure: Push open rate, return-visit rate
KPI: Active customers
Intelligent Data Models

Your favourites are back in stock

It has been a little while, Elena. The pieces you loved are back, and your basket is right where you left it.

now
Push notification
03Re-engage

A warmer reason to return

If the nudge does not land, an email gives a fuller reason to come back and a one-tap path to reorder her usual.

Trigger: No purchase within 3 days of nudge
Channels:
Email
Measure: Email CTR, saved-basket reorder rate
KPI: Active customers
Intelligent Data Models
Fuse
From: Intelligent Data Models
Subject: We have kept your basket safe

We have kept your basket safe

Hi Elena, Your saved basket is ready whenever you are, one tap to reorder your usual. Good to have you back.

Data models, made tangible · illustrative for demonstration · Fuse Growth Studio

Email preview
04Recover

A small reason to act now

For a high-value customer worth recovering, a modest, time-bound incentive tips the decision. SMS because it is direct.

Trigger: Still no purchase within 7 days
Channels:
SMS
Measure: Incentive redemption, reactivation rate versus holdout
KPI: Active customers
Intelligent Data Models
SMS

10 percent off, just for you

Fuse: Elena, here is 10 percent off your next order this week. Reorder your usual: link. Reply STOP to opt out.

Now
SMS preview
05Reactivated

Welcome back, and stay

Elena buys again. She moves to Reactivated and the goal shifts from return to rebuild the habit. A prompt to set a subscription locks the cadence back in.

Trigger: Purchase recorded after win-back
Channels:
PushIn-app
Measure: Repeat purchase within 14 days, subscription take-up
KPI: Active customers
Intelligent Data Models
Intelligent Data Models

Good to have you back, Elena

Great to see you. Want your essentials to arrive automatically? Set up a subscription and never think about it again.

HomeProductsFor youAccount
Content card in app