Growth scorecard

Every lever, mapped to a number

Five headline KPIs make up the growth scorecard. Every segment is tied to the one it moves most, so strategy and measurement stay in step.

Where it sits: The Measure stage of the loop. A model that cannot name the number it moves is a classification exercise, not a programme.

Your framework

The numbers you already report

Each one names the segments and the plays that move it, so a target has a mechanism behind it rather than a hope. These are the 5 on the Growth scorecard, in your language, not ours.

First-purchase conversion

Share of new registrations that complete a first purchase.

RFM+BT signal
Registered with zero or one lifetime purchases inside the onboarding window.
Segments that move it
The move
Day-0 activation, best-first-product recommendation, friction removal.

Active customers

Customers with a purchase inside the active window.

RFM+BT signal
Recency slipping against personal rhythm, or a return after silence.
The move
Win-back, reactivation and subscription-health protection.

Purchase frequency

Average purchases per active customer per period.

RFM+BT signal
A repeatable cadence forming, stalling or absent.
The move
Habit-building nudges and a second purchase occasion.

Spend per active

Average spend per active customer per period.

RFM+BT signal
High decayed value, or spend that co-moves with seasonal events.
Segments that move it
The move
Protect top value, and concentrate budget on sale moments for the deal-driven.

Category breadth

Number of distinct categories purchased per customer.

RFM+BT signal
High recency and frequency, but narrow category coverage.
Segments that move it
The move
Cross-sell into the complementary range once the core habit is secure.
The wider set

Your framework covers 2 of these eight

A scorecard is a choice about what to watch, and it usually gets made before there is a model capable of moving much of it. These 8 are moved by RFM-BT in any vertical. 2 are already on the Growth scorecard above, which is a good sign: it means the framework was set with the right instincts. The other 6 move whether they are reported or not, and they are where the case for the model is usually won or lost. The percentage on each is the share of your base the named segments actually cover, from the same modelled distribution as the tuner.

Growth

Is the base worth more than it was?

Spend per active customer

Already on the Growth scorecard
16%of the base

What an active customer is actually worth over a quarter, rather than an average across a base that is mostly dormant.

MonetaryFrequency
How the model reads it
Monetary read as spend per active week, with frequency as a rate
Who moves it
Rising CustomerLoyal HabitualChampion
The move
Deepen the habit where one is already forming, instead of discounting to the whole base.

Reactivation rate

Not currently reported
9%of the base

The share of quiet customers who come back, and crucially whether they stay back rather than making one purchase and going silent again.

RecencyTenure
How the model reads it
Recency read against the customer's own rhythm, plus the reactivated flag
Who moves it
HibernatingAt-RiskReactivated
The move
One strong attempt at the right moment, then rest the contact rather than keep chasing.
Retention

Is what we have holding?

Lapse rate, against personal rhythm

Not currently reported
49%of the base

How many customers are going quiet relative to their own pattern, which catches a weekly buyer at day ten instead of waiting for a fixed thirty-day rule.

Recency
How the model reads it
Recency measured against the median gap between that customer's purchases
Who moves it
At-RiskLoyal HabitualCasual / Low-engagement
The move
Catch the slip in the week it happens, while there is still a habit to protect.

Tier movement, up against down

Not currently reported
18%of the base

Net movement between value tiers over a quarter. The clearest single read on whether the base is improving, and the one a campaign report cannot produce.

RecencyFrequencyMonetary
How the model reads it
The value tier, written down each time the model runs
Who moves it
Rising CustomerLoyal HabitualAt-Risk
The move
Work the boundary cases, where a small move changes which tier someone sits in.
Breadth

Are they using more of us?

Products per customer

Already on the Growth scorecard
8%of the base

How much of the range a customer actually uses. Breadth is the strongest single predictor of whether someone is still here next year.

Breadth
How the model reads it
Breadth, as distinct products used in the window
Who moves it
Single-Category LoyalistLoyal HabitualChampion
The move
Introduce the second category to the customers whose behaviour says they would take it.

Complementary range take-up

Not currently reported
24%of the base

First-time adoption of the cross-sell target, and whether a second purchase follows the first. One conversion that never repeats is not adoption.

BreadthTenure
How the model reads it
Breadth, plus never having tried the secondary category
Who moves it
Single-Category LoyalistRising CustomerOnboarding
The move
Aim at trial where the barrier is trial, not at awareness where it is not.
Efficiency

Is it costing less to get?

Spend per message sent

Not currently reported
49%of the base

What the programme earns per contact. This is the number that quietly falls when the answer to every target is to send more to everyone.

RecencyFrequencyMonetary
How the model reads it
Value tier and behavioural segment together, setting contact intensity
Who moves it
Casual / Low-engagementChampionAt-Risk
The move
Dial contact by value and state, so budget follows the people it works on.

Opt-out rate by value tier

Not currently reported
47%of the base

Whether the cost of a busier programme is being paid by your best customers. A rising opt-out rate concentrated at the top is expensive in a way total volume hides.

MonetaryRecency
How the model reads it
The value tier, read against send and opt-out history
Who moves it
ChampionLoyal HabitualCasual / Low-engagement
The move
Cap frequency by value, so the best customers are not silenced by a blanket rule.
Before you commit to any of them

A number is only a target if you could see it move

A measure driven by two per cent of the base will not produce a readable weekly result, however good the targeting is. That is not a reason to ignore it, it is a reason to watch it rather than steer on it, and to say which you are doing. Pick the measures whose segments are big enough to carry a read, and roll the rest up a level.

One customer, several numbers

A customer rarely sits under a single measure. Most segments move more than one at once, and a single steady behaviour can protect one number while gently lifting another. That is the argument for one shared model rather than a model per KPI: every number is being worked at the same time, from the same view of the customer.

Four questions, not eight metrics

The grouping is doing work. Growth, Retention, Breadth, Efficiency are the four questions a commercial reader asks, and a programme that moves only one of them is usually borrowing from another. Growth bought with a rising opt-out rate among your best customers is not growth, it is a loan.

That is RFM working on sample data. The service page has the rest: what it needs from you, how long it takes to build, what it pairs with, and how the lift gets proven.